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Rock-Solid Fintech Stock Delivering Steady Dividends

Jack Henry & Associates (NASDAQ: JKHY) is a unique player in the fintech space: more than a B2C system that seeks to tear down legacy financial systems, Jack Henry is bridging the gap between the two by keeping small banks humming with seamless payment processing and loan systems. 

And, unlike many hypergrowth fintech stocks, it spits out reliable dividends like a well-maintained ATM.

This $13 billion market cap company boasts a 1.3% yield with a 35-year dividend growth streak, backed by an unbeatable balance sheet and 90% recurring revenue.

With sticky tech, savvy acquisitions, and a private cloud hosting 76% of its 2,000 clients, Jack Henry’s wired to dominate the $100 billion fintech market.

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Operational Overview and Recent Earnings

Small-town banks have struggled to keep pace with major, global institutions, but Jack Henry helps this underserved market ensure that every transaction, from loan approvals to card payments, flows seamlessly through a single platform. 

Jack Henry’s provides critical fintech services like payment processing and electronic funds transfer to nearly 2,000 U.S. banks and credit unions.

Its Payments segment drives 37% of revenue, Core processing 31%, and Complementary services 28%, with Corporate covering the rest. 

In fiscal year 2024, revenue hit $2.2 billion, up from $1.3 billion in 2015, a 6% CAGR.

Q4 2024 saw 5% revenue growth to $560 million, with net income up 7% to $130 million, yielding an 8% EPS CAGR since 2015. 

Free cash flow reached $350 million, fueled by 90% recurring revenue from multiyear contracts.

Operating margins held at 22%, with R&D spending at 15% of revenue boosting its cloud platforms.

Jack Henry’s near-100% client retention and $13 billion market cap underscore its resilience, even if macro slowdowns and Fed rate concerns temper bank IT budgets. 

Action: Snag shares for reliable dividend growth. Track Q1 2025 revenue and cloud migration deals (bank consolidation could pinch growth, as we’ll see in a moment).

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Digital Banking Surge Fuels Fintech Frenzy

Increased consumer interest in online, asynchronous banking fuels demand for fintech to power seamless digital payments.

To that end, digital payments are skyrocketing, with global transaction volumes projected to hit $10 trillion by 2030.

With 85% of U.S. consumers using mobile banking and 60% of small banks digitizing operations, Jack Henry’s is smack dab in the middle of a thriving market, even if inflation and regulatory shifts curb bank tech spending. 

Bank consolidation, shrinking existing independent domestic bank footprints by 5% yearly, limits client pools, but Jack Henry’s cloud platform mitigates risks.

A 9% fintech CAGR offers a robust runway, ultimately shielding the stock from the worst knock-on effects of consolidation.

Action: Monitor 2025 mobile banking adoption and regulatory changes for fintech demand signals.

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Dividend Profile

Jack Henry’s dividend is a cash machine, boasting 35 years of consecutive increases and a 9.6% 10-year growth rate. 

Its current 1.3% yield, 10 basis points above its five-year average, reflects stability, with recent mid-single-digit raises prioritizing consistency over flash.

A 39.5% payout ratio, backed by $350 million in free cash flow, ensures rock-solid coverage, making it a haven for income investors. 

With 8% EPS growth forecast and a low-debt balance sheet (0.1x debt-to-equity), Jack Henry’s poised for high-single-digit dividend hikes and shields payouts from economic turbulence, offering reliability for long-term holders.

Action: Monitor 2025 EPS growth and free cash flow for dividend hike potential.

Bear Case

  • Fiserv’s rival platforms could siphon clients. 

  • Regulatory crackdowns might squeeze margins. 

  • Macro slowdowns could curb bank tech budgets. 

  • Banking sector shifts could reduce demand. 

  • Tech obsolescence might erode relevance.

Action: Hedge with big fintechs like Fiserv (NASDAQ: FISV) and financial ETFs to mitigate sector risks.

Jack Henry’s Fintech Vault is Loaded with Dividend Potential

Jack Henry’s set to keep humming, with CFRA forecasting 8% EPS growth over three years, matching its 8.1% historical CAGR.

Revenue should grow 6% annually through 2029, driven by Payments and cloud migrations, with 76% of clients now cloud-hosted. 

Bank consolidation, cutting 5% of U.S. banks yearly, and regulatory risks could cap growth, but Jack Henry’s 90% recurring revenue and near-100% retention provide a buffer.

New markets, like credit union tech, and organic client wins, like Triangle Credit Union, bolster its trajectory.

Ultimately, with $350 million free cash flow, minimal debt, and 90% recurring revenue, Jack Henry is on track for 23% margins by 2029.

A 1.3% yield, 35-year dividend streak, and 70% bank tech penetration lock in reliability and make the fintech stock a standout at the intersection of growth and dividend investing.

That’s all for today’s edition of the Dividend Brief.

Thanks for reading, and if you have any feedback or dividend stocks you want me to take a look at, just reply to this email!

—Noah Zelvis
DividendBrief.com